Ascona vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LOC
6 - 1
ASC
52%
23%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
9 - 1
ASC
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -3 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 3
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 0
VED
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
ASC
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 4
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 0
HOC
36%
24%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 2
ESC
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
ASC
35%
26%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |