Ascoli vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
ASC
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
3 - 4
AVE
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PES
2 - 2
ASC
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAG
19%
26%
56%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 2
TRA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 0
VIC
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
LEO
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |