Ascoli vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FRO
2 - 0
ASC
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASC
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 1
RIM
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ABN
2 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
SAS
3 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
PIA
2 - 2
SAS
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SAS
3 - 1
CTT
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAS
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SAS
0 - 4
EMP
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |