Ascoli vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
2 - 1
ASC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
ASC
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 2
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 1
PIS
28%
27%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 1
SSB
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SSB
2 - 0
ASA
45%
28%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 0
SSB
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SSB
4 - 0
FCV
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |