Ascoli vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ASC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 0
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ASC
3 - 1
CAT
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 3
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MES
4 - 1
ABN
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MES
3 - 1
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 0
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |