Ascoli vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASC
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ASC
0 - 0
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
ASC
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
LOD
4 - 0
GIU
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LOD
2 - 2
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 2
LOD
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |