Ascoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASC
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 1
PES
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 4
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 0
ASC
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 0
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
CRO
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 0
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 2
CRO
31%
28%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |