Ascoli vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TER
1 - 1
ASC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 3
VNZ
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CES
0 - 2
ASC
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SPE
4 - 2
PRG
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TER
4 - 2
SPE
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
46%
28%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPE
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |