Ascoli vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
ASC
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 2
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASC
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 5
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
ASC
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 1
CTT
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAS
43%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LIV
3 - 0
CTT
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 3
EMP
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 0
CTT
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |