ASC 09 Dortmund vs SpVgg Vreden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
6º
16º
7º
43
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASC 09 Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
TVC
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DSC
0 - 2
ASC
30%
21%
50%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 1
SPR
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASC
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 0
ENN
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
1 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TUS
2 - 3
SVR
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ERN
2 - 1
SVR
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SVR
0 - 2
TVC
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DSC
1 - 1
SVR
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |