Varese vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CTT
5 - 1
VAR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CRO
3 - 2
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 3
EMP
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CES
0 - 3
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 3
PAD
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |