ASPL 2000 vs Petite Rivière Noire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPL 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
QUA
1 - 2
APL
25%
26%
50%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
APL
4 - 0
RIV
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PAM
1 - 1
APL
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
APL
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +14 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 1
APL
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Petite Rivière Noire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
PET
3 - 4
CUR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PET
0 - 0
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CUR
2 - 2
PET
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +10 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
QUA
1 - 2
PET
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
SAV
1 - 2
PET
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |