As Pontes vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
GAL
8 - 1
ASP
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ASP
2 - 2
CDT
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
ATB
3 - 2
ASP
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
RCF
1 - 0
ASP
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
ASP
4 - 1
LEG
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
CEL
4 - 0
SEV
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 0
CEL
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
CEL
0 - 3
ATM
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
RAC
2 - 1
CEL
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CEL
1 - 1
RSO
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |