Police vs Sonabel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ASP
0 - 0
AJE
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 0
ASP
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ASP
0 - 1
AJE
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
USC
2 - 0
ASP
26%
30%
44%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
USO
2 - 4
ASP
37%
28%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sonabel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SON
2 - 1
ASD
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 2
SON
46%
30%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
USO
0 - 3
SON
51%
28%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
SON
0 - 4
RAI
39%
29%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
SON
2 - 3
USF
44%
29%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |