AS Kigali vs Etincelles FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUK
0 - 0
ASK
49%
27%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 2
APR
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 2
ASK
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 1
EDE
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Etincelles FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ETI
2 - 1
MFC
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 3
ETI
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BUG
2 - 2
ETI
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ETI
3 - 1
MUK
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
APR
1 - 0
ETI
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |