AS Gubbio 1910 vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
IMO
2 - 2
ASG
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 2
SIE
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 0
ASG
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ASG
4 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TER
1 - 1
ASG
46%
28%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
REG
2 - 0
ASL
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 0
VIT
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 3
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |