Cittadella vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 1
CTT
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 1
CTT
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
TRA
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
CTT
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAR
47%
27%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 0
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 1
PES
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
PAL
23%
28%
49%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
VIR
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |