Cittadella vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 0
RIM
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 0
CTT
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 2
PAR
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
CTT
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CTT
0 - 2
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
REG
0 - 1
PAD
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
63%
22%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAD
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAD
3 - 1
ASS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |