Cittadella vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SSM
0 - 1
CTT
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CTT
2 - 3
PRO
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 0
CTT
31%
28%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CTT
3 - 1
USC
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SAS
0 - 1
CTT
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 0
UNI
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SSM
1 - 0
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAD
31%
30%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
LEC
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |