Cittadella vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 4
CTT
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 0
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
CTT
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 2
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
CTT
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |