SSC Bari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASC
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIV
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 4
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 2
PRG
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 0
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 0
PRG
24%
27%
48%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |