Serie B Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 1-1
SSC Bari vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 3
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
REG
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 1
BAR
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
CTT
58%
24%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 1
FCS
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
CTT
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TER
0 - 1
FCS
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |