Arzachena vs Sarrabus Ogliastra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SOR
3 - 1
ARZ
42%
27%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
3 - 2
VIS
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SSD
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POM
2 - 1
ARZ
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LRO
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sarrabus Ogliastra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
CSO
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CSO
6 - 1
APR
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACC
2 - 1
CSO
26%
21%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 1
POR
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
CSO
75%
14%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |