Arsenal vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
30%
24%
45%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
18%
22%
61%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 0
MPL
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
5 - 2
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 3
FUL
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 1
WBA
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SWA
0 - 0
LIV
27%
26%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 2
SWA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 1
CHL
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |