Arsenal vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARS
5 - 2
TOT
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SUN
2 - 0
ARS
20%
22%
59%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
4 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 2
ARS
17%
21%
62%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 4
ACM
32%
25%
43%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
ACM
13%
24%
64%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
4 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |