Arsenal vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
21%
23%
56%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
80%
13%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
MID
0 - 4
ARS
19%
24%
57%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 1
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
INT
2 - 2
PRG
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
53%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |