Premier League Round 36

Arsenal vs Fulham analysis

Arsenal Fulham
93 ELO 83
7.2% Tilt -0.9%
16º General ELO ranking 77º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
74.4%
Arsenal
16.4%
Draw
9.2%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.2%
Win probability
Fulham
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+2%
-2%
Fulham

ELO progression

Arsenal
Fulham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2007
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
38%
26%
36%
93 89 4 0
17 Apr. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
74%
17%
9%
93 85 8 0
14 Apr. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
68%
19%
13%
93 87 6 0
09 Apr. 2007
NEW
Newcastle
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
27%
27%
46%
93 87 6 0
07 Apr. 2007
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 1
West Ham
WHU
79%
14%
7%
93 80 13 0

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2007
FUL
Fulham
1 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
36%
27%
38%
83 87 4 0
14 Apr. 2007
REA
Reading
1 - 0
Fulham
FUL
52%
24%
25%
83 84 1 0
09 Apr. 2007
FUL
Fulham
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
48%
26%
27%
83 84 1 0
06 Apr. 2007
EVE
Everton
4 - 1
Fulham
FUL
48%
26%
26%
84 86 2 -1
31 Mar. 2007
FUL
Fulham
1 - 1
Portsmouth
OPA
51%
25%
24%
84 83 1 0