Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
NTT
0 - 4
ARS
11%
18%
72%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HUL
1 - 4
ARS
12%
20%
68%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
PSG
1 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
SOU
63%
22%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 3
ARS
15%
21%
64%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 4
CHL
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 2
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 0
BUR
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 2
BRO
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |