Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 1
STO
69%
19%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
SUN
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
34%
23%
43%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
OLP
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
SUN
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WIG
1 - 3
BOL
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 5
CHL
16%
23%
62%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
ASV
0 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |