Russian Premier League Round 12

Arsenal Tula vs Ufa analysis

Arsenal Tula Ufa
78 ELO 77
-11.5% Tilt 6.7%
3104º General ELO ranking 3746º
29º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Arsenal Tula
26.6%
Draw
21.5%
Ufa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Arsenal Tula
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.5%
Win probability
Ufa
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal Tula
-3%
-7%
Ufa

ELO progression

Arsenal Tula
Ufa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2016
KRS
Krylia Sovetov
1 - 1
Arsenal Tula
ARS
42%
27%
31%
78 79 1 0
16 Oct. 2016
ARS
Arsenal Tula
0 - 0
FK Krasnodar
KRA
22%
25%
53%
77 86 9 +1
01 Oct. 2016
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
1 - 1
Arsenal Tula
ARS
56%
25%
19%
76 84 8 +1
25 Sep. 2016
ARS
Arsenal Tula
0 - 0
Akhmat Grozny
TER
38%
29%
33%
76 81 5 0
21 Sep. 2016
TOS
Tosno
2 - 0
Arsenal Tula
ARS
33%
24%
43%
76 71 5 0

Matches

Ufa
Ufa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2016
TER
Akhmat Grozny
1 - 1
Ufa
UFA
59%
24%
17%
75 82 7 0
22 Oct. 2016
UFA
Ufa
0 - 0
FK Rostov
FCR
23%
26%
51%
75 85 10 0
14 Oct. 2016
CSK
CSKA Moskva
1 - 0
Ufa
UFA
72%
19%
9%
74 85 11 +1
09 Oct. 2016
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
1 - 3
Ufa
UFA
62%
24%
14%
75 84 9 -1
02 Oct. 2016
UFA
Ufa
1 - 1
Amkar Perm
PER
31%
29%
40%
75 82 7 0