FNL Round 20

Arsenal Tula vs Tyumen analysis

Arsenal Tula Tyumen
62 ELO 55
-13.4% Tilt -9.8%
3125º General ELO ranking 3754º
29º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
55.7%
Arsenal Tula
24.9%
Draw
19.4%
Tyumen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
Arsenal Tula
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.4%
Win probability
Tyumen
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal Tula
-8%
-4%
Tyumen

Points and table prediction

Arsenal Tula
Their league position
Tyumen
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
10º
27
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Baltika
69
69
100%
Torpedo Moscow
65
65
100%
Chernomorets Novorossisk
64
64
100%
Ural Yekaterinburg
59
59
100%
Sochi
57
57
100%
SKA-Khabarovsk
53
53
100%
Rodina Moskva
50
50
100%
Yenisey
49
49
100%
Rotor Volgograd
47
47
100%
Arsenal Tula
10º
41
41
10º
100%
KamAZ
11º
38
38
11º
100%
Neftekhimik
12º
38
38
12º
0%
Chayka
13º
38
38
13º
0%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
14º
35
35
14º
0%
Ufa
15º
35
35
15º
0%
Sokol Saratov
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Tyumen
18º
27
27
17º
0%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
17º
27
27
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Arsenal Tula
Tyumen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Arsenal Tula
Tyumen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
NEF
Neftekhimik
2 - 2
Arsenal Tula
ARS
33%
28%
39%
63 57 6 0
09 Nov. 2024
ALA
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0 - 0
Arsenal Tula
ARS
39%
27%
34%
63 59 4 0
02 Nov. 2024
SOK
Sokol Saratov
1 - 0
Arsenal Tula
ARS
17%
26%
57%
64 51 13 -1
26 Oct. 2024
ARS
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
YAR
53%
26%
21%
64 57 7 0
21 Oct. 2024
CHA
Chayka
2 - 2
Arsenal Tula
ARS
27%
28%
46%
64 56 8 0

Matches

Tyumen
Tyumen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2024
TYU
Tyumen
0 - 1
Sochi
SOC
18%
24%
58%
54 69 15 0
10 Nov. 2024
TYU
Tyumen
1 - 4
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
41%
26%
33%
55 56 1 -1
03 Nov. 2024
CHA
Chayka
3 - 0
Tyumen
TYU
43%
26%
32%
56 57 1 -1
29 Oct. 2024
TYU
Tyumen
3 - 0
Amkar Perm
PER
18%
22%
60%
54 70 16 +2
26 Oct. 2024
TYU
Tyumen
4 - 1
Yenisey
YEN
25%
27%
48%
53 61 8 +1