Arsenal Tula vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 4
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 3
ČUK
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
UFA
2 - 1
ARS
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 4
FCR
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 2
SPA
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CSK
0 - 1
QAR
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FKN
1 - 0
QAR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
QAR
2 - 0
SHA
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SFK
0 - 4
QAR
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
QAR
1 - 1
ZIR
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |