Arras vs Fresnoy-Saint-Quentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESW
3 - 1
ARR
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 1
FEI
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
REI
1 - 0
ARR
38%
28%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 2
ROY
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fresnoy-Saint-Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 0
IRI
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
FRE
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
SAI
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SED
1 - 0
FRE
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 2
FLE
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |