Carioca B2 . Final
Global 2-5
CEAC / Araruama vs Paduano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
ADC
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
2 - 0
BAR
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
3 - 3
QUE
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
BVI
0 - 6
ADC
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 2
PER
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
CER
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
PAD
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 4
PAD
15%
18%
66%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
BON
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 1
PAD
31%
22%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |