Arquet vs Andennais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
4º
1º
19
12º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arquet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARQ
1 - 1
NIS
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FEH
0 - 2
ARQ
22%
19%
60%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
USD
0 - 0
ARQ
21%
19%
61%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ARQ
3 - 0
REJ
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
ARQ
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Andennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 2
AND
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AND
3 - 1
SHA
49%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AND
0 - 3
MEU
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 2
AND
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AND
1 - 5
LOY
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |