Arosa vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RCF
4 - 0
ARO
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BER
2 - 4
ARO
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 0
COM
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UPH
0 - 0
ARO
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ARO
3 - 1
SIL
57%
21%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 2
COM
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UPH
3 - 0
UDO
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 2
SIL
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALO
0 - 4
UDO
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 0
CEL
82%
12%
5%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |