Army vs Saunders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
ARM
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 0
SLP
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ARM
3 - 1
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DBO
1 - 1
ARM
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
BLU
0 - 1
ARM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saunders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 0
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DBO
2 - 0
SAU
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 1
BLU
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
REN
2 - 0
SAU
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
SAU
1 - 3
RSC
45%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |