3. Liga . Jor. 21

Arminia Bielefeld vs B. Dortmund II analysis

Arminia Bielefeld B. Dortmund II
64 ELO 54
-0.5% Tilt 7.9%
1287º General ELO ranking 1468º
40º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
59.3%
Arminia Bielefeld
22%
Draw
18.6%
B. Dortmund II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Win probability
B. Dortmund II
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arminia Bielefeld
-13%
+1%
B. Dortmund II

ELO progression

Arminia Bielefeld
B. Dortmund II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2012
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
34%
26%
40%
64 56 8 0
24 Nov. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 0
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
51%
25%
24%
63 61 2 +1
17 Nov. 2012
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
48%
25%
27%
63 66 3 0
10 Nov. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
Stuttgart II
STU
55%
24%
21%
63 59 4 0
03 Nov. 2012
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
22%
25%
52%
63 52 11 0

Matches

B. Dortmund II
B. Dortmund II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2012
BOR
B. Dortmund II
1 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
26%
27%
48%
55 66 11 0
24 Nov. 2012
BOR
B. Dortmund II
0 - 2
Stuttgart II
STU
36%
27%
37%
55 59 4 0
17 Nov. 2012
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
37%
25%
38%
55 55 0 0
10 Nov. 2012
BOR
B. Dortmund II
2 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
27%
26%
47%
54 62 8 +1
03 Nov. 2012
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
3 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
46%
24%
29%
54 57 3 0
X