Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SGF
0 - 1
ARB
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
ARB
2 - 2
MSV
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
KSC
0 - 1
ARB
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2001 |
EIN
0 - 2
ARB
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ARB
3 - 1
SAA
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
FCU
0 - 2
LOV
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FCU
0 - 4
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SAA
2 - 3
FCU
30%
27%
44%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
FCU
3 - 0
HAK
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FCU
3 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |