Arminia Bielefeld II vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
HAM
3 - 2
ABI
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ABI
1 - 0
SPO
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
WHE
1 - 2
ABI
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
S04
1 - 1
ABI
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PRE
3 - 3
ABI
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ERK
2 - 0
LIP
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
S04
2 - 1
ERK
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ERK
3 - 1
ERH
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
WIE
3 - 1
ERK
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ERK
0 - 0
RWA
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |