Armed Forces vs Marimoo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 2
ARM
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 1
FAL
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARM
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
ARM
4 - 1
BOM
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
ARM
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marimoo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
STE
0 - 0
MAR
43%
30%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
GTA
58%
26%
17%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAL
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAR
41%
30%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |