Arlesey Town vs March Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 2
ARL
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ARL
4 - 3
THE
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
HAT
1 - 1
ARL
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
WRO
5 - 0
ARL
57%
21%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HAD
3 - 2
ARL
76%
14%
9%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
March Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MTU
1 - 2
MIL
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 0
MTU
52%
22%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BUG
4 - 2
MTU
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MTU
3 - 4
LKF
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MTU
0 - 2
HAD
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |