FA Trophy . 1/128
Global 2-3
Arlesey Town vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
ARL
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
ARL
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
ARL
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
ARL
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 0
CHE
37%
26%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
ARL
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
BUR
44%
24%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 4
CRA
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ENF
1 - 3
CRA
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
THA
0 - 1
CRA
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |