Arles vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
IST
0 - 1
ARL
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ARL
0 - 3
STL
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
NÎM
4 - 1
ARL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
REN
1 - 0
ARL
77%
15%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ARL
0 - 2
CAE
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 2
GUI
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
LMU
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 0
LMU
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LMU
2 - 0
STL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
NÎM
2 - 1
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |