Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GKS
1 - 1
ARK
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ARK
1 - 0
GDA
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZAG
1 - 3
ARK
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
TSP
1 - 3
ARK
16%
18%
66%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ARK
1 - 0
POD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KOR
0 - 1
LPO
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 3
WLO
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 0
LPO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 0
RCH
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
ZAW
0 - 4
LPO
13%
19%
68%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |