Ariza vs Rayo Breano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AGR
3 - 2
ARI
56%
21%
23%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ARI
3 - 2
BIO
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 2
ARI
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 2
CDC
26%
22%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ATE
3 - 2
ARI
74%
14%
11%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Breano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BIO
4 - 2
RBR
38%
21%
41%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
RBR
1 - 4
CDC
35%
24%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
OLV
1 - 3
RBR
21%
22%
56%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RBR
1 - 2
BOQ
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
RBR
1 - 0
TOR
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |