Arg. Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
DPA
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 0
ARR
73%
19%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
ARQ
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
ARR
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
CAÑ
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
YUP
1 - 2
PUE
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
DPA
39%
28%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 0
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
VIC
25%
25%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
PUE
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |