Arg. Quilmes vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2014 |
DOC
0 - 1
ARQ
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 1
ITA
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 2
ARQ
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 2
TAL
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
JJU
0 - 1
ARQ
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2014 |
ARM
4 - 0
SAC
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MID
0 - 1
ARM
43%
28%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 0
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 0
ARM
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
LUJ
61%
24%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |