Argentino Merlo vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TAL
1 - 2
ARM
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LAM
2 - 1
ARM
23%
27%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 2
SMG
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
LAF
1 - 1
ARM
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 0
DOC
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 0
LAM
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SMG
2 - 2
CAD
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAD
2 - 1
LAF
23%
27%
50%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
DOC
3 - 0
CAD
59%
22%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 1
SMA
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |