Argentina SSD vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina SSD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
BEL
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAC
4 - 1
ARG
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 1
SET
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
RAB
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SES
0 - 0
ARG
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
RAB
44%
24%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ASD
4 - 0
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
18%
24%
58%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAO
3 - 3
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |